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January 31, 2007Over at the design blog, Drawing on Promises, "Blank" raises some intriguing questions about the relationship between design and social class. This last sentence really caught my attention. Could it be that part of the problem at Ford and GM goes far beyond - and far deeper - than the quality and performance of their cars - that at least part of the problem is the way their cars are perceived as conveying a certain class status? More to the point, with all the talk over niche markets and long-tails, could it be that the perception of social class remains a powerful tool in marketing to consumer groups? Your thoughts? Martin Wolf puts his finger on what is perhaps the biggest issue of our time - the growing divergence between "economic progress" and "political turmoil" in the Financial Times (subscription only, hat tip: Mark Thoma).
Jerry Mayer and I take up this theme in our essay on "The Unsettled Politics of the Creative Age." Click here to download. January 30, 2007I use the occupational statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics all the time. But it's also worth noting that the Bureau's researchers produce some of the best research on regional trends and on talent shifts around. Here are links to some of the best studies of the past year. Manhattan's economy since 9/11 New Orleans economy after Katrina Global labor market comparisons According to this report by Christoper Power: "One of the dominant themes emerging from Davos this year is the power of demographics. Population isn't exactly destiny, but it's a huge determinant in how nations, economies, and companies fare. And the demographics often reveal trends that, on the surface at least, contradict the general appearance of a nation's prosperity." Amen! The whole story is here. The new 2007 Index of Silicon Valley is out. This year's effort by Doug Henton and the terrific team at Collaborative Economics is the best one yet. In addition to tracking trends in high-tech and venture investment, it includes a detailed section on Silicon Valley in a spiky world, with new data on the global distribution of patents, IT employment, and venture investments. This special section has a detailed analysis of talent and diversity which concludes that "Silicon Valley’s diverse ethnic composition will be its chief asset in the global marketplace, where new technology regions in Asia, Israel, and Europe are emerging as competitors and collaborators." The report includes a detailed analysis of the externalities of the creative economy, including worsening economic inequality and deepening problems of housing affordability, noting that: " the region faces significant challenges... the percentage of first-time home buyers who can afford the median-priced home is 26 percent, down from 31 percent in 2005." The report concludes that Silicon Valley is: "growing as a global center for creativity in business and technology, defining our advantage by being creators of new products, services, companies and business models. This is a fundamental restructuring, away from the old manufacturing model toward a new idea economy. We can see it happening very clearly, and our region’s companies are taking full advantage. The question for Silicon Valley is whether there will be broad participation in these activities—particularly for the rising generation—or whether we’re looking at a future where our companies prosper through their global networks but the region doesn’t feel better off.”
The full report is here. Have a look at this article on "Place-making for the Creative Class" by James Richard in the current issue of Landscape Architecture magazine. It's based on the findings of the detailed fieldwork and interviews for his University of Texas master's thesis on quality of place in Austin, Seattle and Washington DC. More than 800 million people traveled internationally last year, breaking previous records, according to a new report from the United Nations' World Tourism Organization. Tourism was up 4 percent in Europe and the Middle East, 7.6 percent in Asia-Pacific and 8.1percent in Africa - and 4.5 percent overall. Guess what region had the weakest growth? North America, where tourism was up just 2 percent. While one might think the weaker U.S. dollar would encourage travelers to head to America, tourism from Western Europe to the US fell 3 percent last year. According to the report, "widespread confusion over U.S. visa and passport requirements for foreign visitors" is to (hat tip: Shari Young Kuchenbecker). Brian Knudsen sent me this link to Robert's Sullivan's terrific oped in yesterday's New York Times:
January 29, 2007
On the right is competitor Zillow's list of million dollar homes by city. There, you can use Zestimates to create all sorts of interesting data on real estate trends. And over at the ominously titled Housing Doom, there's a list (below) of foreclosed properties by state, based on data on Fannie Mae-owned properties. It's not the list they imagined, dominated as it is by heartland states like Ohio and Michigan, with bubble markets conspicuously absent, at least for the time being.
Your thoughts on what might be behind these trends and patterns? January 28, 2007
Taking a page from McCracken, I ran a Google Trends analysis, comparing Davos to other high-profile events like Burning Man, South-by-Southwest, and the Sundance Festival. Looks to me like Robert Redford and movie stars are first, with Davos and Burning Man neck and neck, and the SXSW rockers pulling up the rear. Your thoughts?
Here's what the Times has to say, referencing architectural historian, Hilary Ballon.
But New York's recent success has little to do with Moses' disastrous vision. The city and region have succeeded in spite of Moses, coming back because of a combination of economic and structural change, demographic forces, and bottom-up neighborhood rebuilding. In the 1970s, Moses' disciples like Roger Starr were arguing that the only path to renewal lay in "benign neglect" - essentially letting vast swatches of the city run so far down that property would become cheap enough to enable another round of top-down rebuilding in the image and likeness of the suburbs. So now we have this rewriting of history in its most banal form -- a "great man" with his "great projects" did it. Come on. But it's just what the doctor ordered, really, in booming New York City: Someone to make the case anew for a new generation of soulless, top-down, a-human mega-projects, where only the visions of "great" architects, designers, and developers count, where living neighborhoods can be run roughshod over and human beings don't matter. It's as if Jane Jacobs simply did not exist and never wrote her classic critique of such megalomaniacal urbanism, The Death and Life of Great American Cities. The ever thoughtful Columbia historian Ken Jackson provides the relevant context: “A lot of big projects are on the table again, and it kind of suggests a Moses era without Moses.” So let's invite his rehabilitated ghost back to the table. The Times story notes that somehow they've managed to bar Moses' biographer, the Pulitzer prize-winning Robert Caro, from the festivities. Take heed of the old adage: "History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce." Or as Jane Jacobs apocryphally told me: "When a place gets boring" - as just these sorts of mega-projects which damp down street-life and human energy will doubtless ensure - "even the rich people leave." Beware of what you wish for, New York.
January 26, 2007Earlier I posted on Scott Page's new book, The Difference. John Hagel has a nice review over at Edge Perspectives. Scott, a University of Michigan professor and fellow at the Santa Fe Institute, has a fabulous short piece over at the Center For American Progress, here.
Do your own experiences and observations jibe with Page's assessments? January 25, 2007Via Wendy Waters at All About Cities, a new report by Demographia on global trends in housing markets which notes growing housing affordability issues in super-star cities, and the splitting of the US into two divergent kinds of housing markets. January 24, 2007Yesterday we announced a powerful partnership between the Richard Florida Creativity Group and The Knight Foundation, the Knight Creative Communities Initiative. Check out the latest coverage in Tallahassee, FL - the first Knight community we will be working with: A video from the news conference Also, if you are from the Tallahassee region, please click here to learn more about getting involved! January 23, 2007We are thrilled today to announce a dynamic partnership for community development! Our Creative Class Strategies division has joined with the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation to create the Knight Creative Communities Initiative (KCCI). KCCI combines our 30 years of economic research with the inspiration of our mentor, Jane Jacobs, who tells us to "Ask the people that live there." The result is a year long program designed for community members to understand and build their own sustainable regional prosperity. We have been working on similar programs with vibrant groups in Tacoma, WA and El Paso, TX, and are eager to begin similar endeavors with the citizens of Tallahassee, FL, Charlotte, NC and Duluth-Superior, MN. Check out these early press clippings: from Duluth's News Tribune and Superior Daily Telegram Do you live in one of these Knight communities? Be a part of KCCI. Fill-in an application here: Tallahassee, FL Are you interested in hosting a similar program in your community? Contact Rod at RodFrantz@CreativeClass.org. January 22, 2007Interesting piece by Chris Rhoads of the WSJ about one of the pioneers of Silicon Valley. The Twilight Years of Cap'n Crunch offers real insight into the early 'wild' years of Silicon Valley and describes the life and career of John Draper,
Really a good read and the WSJ offers some great features online including a photo gallery and video blog of Mr. Draper called CrunchTV. posted by David January 21, 2007
Walter Jones applies the creativity theory to leadership.
Your thoughts? January 19, 2007
Click here for an abridged version. The Economist summarizes what looks to be an improved economic approach to globalization, outsourcing and off-shoring (hat tip: New Economist).
Read the whole thing here. U.S. News and World Report pundit Michael Barone has a blog entry on migration between cities and counties where he writes: "... so much for Richard Florida's theory that "creative cities" are growth magnets. ...net internal migration is out of rather than into such creative cities as Manhattan, San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver." Read the whole thing here. He uses Census data on net internal migration, the change in population excluding natural increase or international migration, to identify winning and losing places. His five biggest winners: Riverside, California (gaining 292,038 residents), Maricopa/Phoenix, Arizona (259,869), Clark/Las Vegas, Nevada (219,112), San Bernardino, California (120,496), and Collins/Plano, Texas (110,837). He adds: "Note that most of these counties are exurban in character, at the edge of large metropolitan areas. ...The internal migration flow out from the central-city counties to exurban counties is immense. Politically, 21 of these 24 counties voted for George W. Bush in 2004. " His biggest five losers: Los Angeles (loss of 562,351 residents), Cook County/Chicago, Illinois (500,099), Kings County/Brookyn, New York (291,748), Queens County, New York (283,573), and Dallas, Texas (207,389). San Francisco, Boston, Seattle, Denver, Washington DC, Fairfax County, VA, and many other places make this list. "You won't be surprised to learn," he writes, "that most are big central-city counties; the five counties that make up New York City had a net internal outmigration of 808,562." Politically, he adds, "31 of these 33 counties (and county equivalents) voted for John Kerry in 2004...." Not so fast. What Barone fails to consider is that these overall trends mask a deeper demographic shift... January 18, 2007Mark Cuban can't understand why people wear suits.
Read the whole thing here. January 17, 2007'Place Branding' or slogans are used by a lot of communities to attract people. TaglineGuru named these the top 10 city slogans in the US: What Happens Here, Stays Here. - Las Vegas, NV Image is definitely important - check out Place Branding's Anholt-GMI City Brands Index, which analyzes how people see different cities. The question is, can cities effectively craft their image with words? And if they can, will it lead to more people moving and/or visiting the city? Here are a few articles/studies for your consideration: A recent op-ed by Corey Johnson, a doctoral candidate at the University of Oregon, on Eugene’s new slogan. A study of European City Branding: An Effective Assertion Of Identity Or a Transitory Marketing Trick? And this study on community slogans in Wisconsin by Professor David Muench. He points out that slogans may in fact be more important for current residents, giving them a connect to local history and each other. And one more, on branding countries. What do you think? Has a community’s slogan ever affected your decision to move or visit? Is your community’s slogan helping people connect to each other and/or the soul of their city? What makes a slogan work? Posted by Amanda. Have thoughts, questions or examples on/of community development strategies? Post them here or write Amanda@CreativeClass.org. Blogger John Manoogian pens a very interesting post here. I for one understand what it's like to be inside what he calls his "amniotic bubble."
Anyone else feel like that - your thoughts, comments? Here is an abridged version of a press release today from the European Parliament.
January 16, 2007
That's the percentage of women who are living without a spouse, up from 35 percent in 1950, according to the New York Times.
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